Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2896.022175 3131.891510 3371.046365 3631.365416 3906.409612 4188.046449 4497.905070
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2498.233064 2847.219868 3214.534440 3628.720999 4081.514453 4560.247408 5103.420846
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2285.351956 2707.195667 3163.430952 3690.995525 4281.638150 4919.975120 5659.409929
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2071.134176 2538.135480 3055.305012 3666.356738 4364.347760 5132.589861 6037.771422
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1956.769124 2468.220464 3046.038260 3741.099616 4548.260228 5449.913910 6526.901500
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1830.969844 2373.589071 2998.242621 3762.267644 4663.066323 5682.965227 6916.285252
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1712.272028 2278.252800 2941.468553 3765.385848 4750.508804 5879.726918 7260.602643
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1549.923992 2119.833066 2800.225776 3659.263357 4701.288968 5910.845635 7406.788022
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1515.018513 2115.960798 2843.589359 3773.448691 4913.499966 6249.137569 7914.716928
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1464.484330 2088.670578 2855.111777 3846.322441 5074.362341 6526.069983 8350.898461
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1384.412423 2018.937621 2809.708671 3845.247989 5142.230173 6689.735134 8650.994842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1298.536557 1937.093338 2744.907205 3816.099131 5172.313213 6805.391981 8891.829846
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1244.138733 1895.543720 2731.136295 3851.985015 5285.116899 7025.201130 9264.524479
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1177.071273 1833.754560 2688.481025 3848.796882 5347.557769 7182.893452 9562.336293
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1142.235530 1814.061257 2699.513572 3913.862199 5495.977436 7447.322256 9992.889422
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1075.095400 1746.041074 2643.220249 3888.119827 5526.012091 7562.608111 10237.997452
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1051.154287 1737.630176 2666.088087 3966.204627 5689.802340 7846.428988 10694.733318
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1008.708315 1700.545163 2648.100651 3988.315997 5779.870705 8036.813656 11034.939255
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 962.405702 1655.619926 2617.369129 3991.573046 5844.009858 8193.635862 11333.035609
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 881.042623 1555.019546 2505.386047 3880.708381 5754.022390 8150.231840 11374.761207
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 878.689006 1572.949416 2560.675020 3999.994770 5971.537690 8504.862787 11926.957214
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 862.935015 1569.555294 2584.963540 4076.103295 6131.433207 8785.719327 12386.367120
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 824.486107 1529.388021 2554.834485 4074.981264 6186.245594 8929.367422 12669.476316